Mission Planner evidence coverage of the Moon Base band

PYRION proposal — evidence coverage, not a prediction or a safety assessment.

The Moon Base band (built by PYRION from NASA atmospheres)

0 % of the band lies inside the region spanned by PSI test points. (0 of 81 grid cells, partial gravity 0.16 g.) ERL 0 · no test

The 0 % is expected, not a finding: this page counts only tests run at the band's gravity, and NASA's challenge statement says there is currently no partial-gravity combustion data in PSI, so 0 % follows by construction. What this page adds is below: what FM2 as planned would measure, which corners of the band stay unmeasured, and the nearest PSI evidence, which is in microgravity or normal gravity (open the Envelope with the Moon Base condition).

Covered means the condition lies between measured PSI test points (inside the outline around them, within the 0.5 % tolerance). No test was necessarily run at that exact condition, other axes are checked one at a time so that exact combination may never have been tested, and PYRION computes no value there. It does not mean flammability behaves the same there: combustion can change abruptly near limits, so coverage is evidence, not a prediction or a safety assessment.

24 %27 %30 %33 %36 %52 kPa (7.5 psia)57.5 kPa (8.3 psia)63 kPa (9.1 psia)68.5 kPa (9.9 psia)74 kPa (10.7 psia)Oxygen (mole fraction, %)
Hover or focus a vertex to see its source. Filled = stated by a source; hollow = a closing corner chosen by PYRION. Click the plot to add a hypothetical test point.

PYRION convention: the two closing corners (26.5 % O2 at 8.2 psia and 34 % O2 at 10.2 psia) are not stated by any source; the rectangle is a way to close an open band with sourced limits, not a NASA design envelope. The 26.5 to 30 % part of the band is below the challenge text (30 % or more) but inside the NESC atmospheres.

Minimum test points (PYRION's geometric convention)

The fewest test points whose outline covers the band under PYRION's convention: not a test programme. It holds for one material, flow velocity and sample thickness at a time; repeats and flammability thresholds are not included. 4 points (the corners of the band). 2 are already contributed by FM2 as planned; 2 are missing: 34 % at 10.2 psia; 26.5 % at 10.2 psia.

CornerO₂PressureStated byCovered by
NESC 8.2 psia, low oxygen corner26.5 %8.2 psiaPYRION conventionFM2 (planned)
NESC Exploration Atmosphere 8.2 psia / 34 % O234 %8.2 psiaa sourceFM2 (planned)
closing corner 34 % O2 at 10.2 psia34 %10.2 psiaPYRION conventionmissing
NESC Exploration Atmosphere 10.2 psia / 26.5 % O226.5 %10.2 psiaa sourcemissing

The smallest set of test points whose region (hull plus the 0.5 % tolerance) covers the band is the set of vertices of the band polygon, deduplicated: for a convex band, the hull of the vertices is the band itself, and no smaller set has that hull. It assumes one test per vertex, at the band gravity, for the stated fuel phase (and material), and that a test inside its own region counts like a measured point; it says nothing about how many repeats a test needs. This is a minimum under PYRION's convention that the region between measured tests counts as covered, separately for each material, flow velocity and sample thickness. Flammability limits are thresholds and need not behave monotonically: Olson and T'ien (NTRS 20000057046, PDF p. 3) report, for gaseous diffusion flames in drop-tower tests, "a quenching limit at low stretch and a U-shaped flammability boundary with fuel percentage and stretch rate as coordinates was experimentally demonstrated". Covering the corners therefore does not show that everything between them behaves like the tests; it only makes the band comparable under that convention.

Coverage gained per test

ExperimentTestsShapeCoverageCells gainedGain per testNote
fm2-with-tolerance-bounds8area0 % → 22.2 %182.25The tests span an area of the oxygen–pressure plane.
fm24line0 % → 11.1 %92.25Every test lies on one line (one pressure or one oxygen level): the tested region has no area; the cells gained are those on the line within the 0.5 % tolerance.
luci0cannot be placed0 % → 0 %00LUCI burned samples "in air at normal pressure" in simulated partial gravity (rotating vehicle). The source passage gives no pressure figure and no oxygen figure, so PYRION cannot place it in the oxygen–pressure plane and does not guess one.

Planned experiments are hypothetical: HYPOTHETICAL — built from what a planning document states; no measurement exists, and nothing here is written to the data.

Design your experiment

Hypothetical — not a measurement. Click the plot above to add test points (drag a point to move it); the engine recomputes the coverage.

No points yet.

Gap report

Open the print view (save as PDF) · Download .md

Fingerprint (SHA-256 of the report data, pyrion-applicability-engine 0.2.0): 89c08719778164761886fa09cf170f6c1f6f3ee9ea9775dfb23a09cd95724ed7

Evidence readiness (ERL) by habitat and fuel phase

PYRION convention, like NASA's TRL, for evidence; it measures how much measured evidence exists, never safety.

Habitatsolidliquidgas
ISS cabin airERL 3 · near extrapolationERL 4 · measuredERL 4 · measured
Moon Base / pressurized rover (challenge)ERL 0 · no testERL 0 · no testERL 0 · no test
NASA exploration atmosphere, 10.2 psia / 26.5 % O2ERL 0 · no testERL 0 · no testERL 0 · no test
NASA exploration atmosphere, 8.2 psia / 34 % O2ERL 0 · no testERL 0 · no testERL 0 · no test
SpacesuitOutside PSI: no investigation in the extracted records concerns a suit atmosphere, so it is not evaluated here.

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